The world is approaching a critical juncture where declining oil production, increasing geopolitical tensions, rising authoritarianism, and the accelerating climate crisis converge into a perfect storm.

These crises are not separate – they are deeply interconnected, forming a feedback loop where each intensifies the others.

Peak Oil Production
Global oil production is expected to peak in the near future (5-15 years). The shale boom that grew and sustained U.S. production for the last decade significantly delayed what is often simply referred to as peak oil.

Without the shale revolution, global oil production would likely have peaked in the early 2010s, and current output would be at least 10 million barrels per day lower than it is today.

This extra 10 million barrels per day has a short lifespan. Shale wells experience steep production drops, losing 50-70% of output within the first year and requiring continuous drilling to maintain supply. As prime drilling areas in the Permian Basin and other key regions run dry, the U.S. will struggle to maintain its current levels of production, and the buffer shale oil provided will erode. Soon, the full severity of oil depletion worldwide will be exposed.

Without shale oil, global supply will shrink by at least 10 million barrels per day, a loss that will not be easily replaced. Conventional oil fields are aging, and major new discoveries are rare. The result will be rising oil prices, increased volatility, and intensified geopolitical competition over remaining reserves. Countries like Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Canada may ramp up production, but these efforts will only delay the inevitable decline of available oil.

Read the rest of the article BELOW: